All Wet
Mar 17, 2015 21:10:44 GMT -5
Post by Evelyn on Mar 17, 2015 21:10:44 GMT -5
How do you change your selections if the track is sloppy? If it's a horse who's never run in the slop, do you check he breeding?I miss those mud marks in the old form! Please note the Oaklawn comments per the thread about Untapable!
All wet
By Jay Cronley | Special to ESPN
The more they race, the more you question what you had been thinking.
The answer to this question could determine whether or not you'll hit the Derby: What's to be done about handicapping horse races in and around the rain? The expression "all wet" probably started at the rail at a horse race track.
Big prices come from two places at the horse races, from cheaters, and from change, most often rain. A wet track is where convention goes to soak its head.
A big change in a track surface puts a race on automatic upset alert.
You always remember the biggest and best - most won at the races, best divorce, best IRS audit. The biggest win I have had at the horse races occurred at Will Rogers Downs, a big league-shaped track by a hamlet, Claremore, outside Tulsa. Will Rogers lived in Claremore. Besides the race track and casino, other things named for Will Rogers are: Will Rogers Plumbing, Will Rogers Laundry, a world airport, Will Rogers Apartments, the Will Rogers Beach outside LA, and the Will Rogers zinnia, a bright red flower.
The day of my biggest win, it was raining buffaloes and coyotes.
The rail down the stretch almost needed a lifeguard.
Here's the reason why horse players can't make the opera tonight: horses leave some race tracks running hot. The next race could mean something. You can't miss anything.
That season, anything coming out of New Mexico seemed to have special powers. Thin air when mixed with humidity seemed to create a powerful energizer. The favorite in this cheap claiming race looked like its ears were the only things not sore.
The field was comprised of two horses with speed versus future farmland pets.
The New Mexico horse had a history of hitting walls and revolving doors. Reaching the stretch in its last few, it let on like it was approaching a school kid crossing zone. It went off at 35-1. And I thought it's raining. We're quick. There are bums to the right of us, mummies to the left. What if for a change of pace we didn't stop?
The other "speed" horse, whose recent mid-pack breaks would have put it in contention there, was 20-1.
I put those two on top and then for third, the most consistent finisher during this meet, All.
The race transpired exactly the way you'd dream it up.
The New Mexico horse left the gate like a brand new jack-in-the-box. It won by ten or 12. The second horse beat the field that looked like the Ohio State band trying to dot the "I" back there, by ten more.
I won the whole tri pool.
The mutual manager had to go to all the floors to get my money.
I bought a round of drinks for the Jockey Club, it was the last race of the day, so there went around $50, and carried the winnings from the facility in a large brown grocery bag.
I paid a security guard to escort me to my car. Around here, no-accounts stalk winners at race tracks and Indian casinos all the time. Mugging is easier than picking winners.
Which is not to say that speed wins all watered down races.
I have seen a 50-1 Beetlemaum type win a mud-caked non-winners of two. But that one featured a short field, and the eventual winner was so far back there, mud balls could have hit it only if flung from slingshots.
This seems to have been the wettest pre-spring ever. Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Ark., has resembled a wading pool all meet and gave mud baths to its two Derby prep winners. El Kabeir won in New York on a track soggy from snow. And it almost sprinkled twice in LA.
More races, more questions: Until American Pharoah came down the stretch at Oaklawn looking like a jet ski, my rain rule has been to throw out all wet results because they inflate Beyer numbers the way a 1-5 winner can boost a picker's ego.
Dortmund fans are talking to themselves as well, asking: How much racing is too much racing?
All wet
By Jay Cronley | Special to ESPN
The more they race, the more you question what you had been thinking.
The answer to this question could determine whether or not you'll hit the Derby: What's to be done about handicapping horse races in and around the rain? The expression "all wet" probably started at the rail at a horse race track.
Big prices come from two places at the horse races, from cheaters, and from change, most often rain. A wet track is where convention goes to soak its head.
A big change in a track surface puts a race on automatic upset alert.
You always remember the biggest and best - most won at the races, best divorce, best IRS audit. The biggest win I have had at the horse races occurred at Will Rogers Downs, a big league-shaped track by a hamlet, Claremore, outside Tulsa. Will Rogers lived in Claremore. Besides the race track and casino, other things named for Will Rogers are: Will Rogers Plumbing, Will Rogers Laundry, a world airport, Will Rogers Apartments, the Will Rogers Beach outside LA, and the Will Rogers zinnia, a bright red flower.
The day of my biggest win, it was raining buffaloes and coyotes.
The rail down the stretch almost needed a lifeguard.
Here's the reason why horse players can't make the opera tonight: horses leave some race tracks running hot. The next race could mean something. You can't miss anything.
That season, anything coming out of New Mexico seemed to have special powers. Thin air when mixed with humidity seemed to create a powerful energizer. The favorite in this cheap claiming race looked like its ears were the only things not sore.
The field was comprised of two horses with speed versus future farmland pets.
The New Mexico horse had a history of hitting walls and revolving doors. Reaching the stretch in its last few, it let on like it was approaching a school kid crossing zone. It went off at 35-1. And I thought it's raining. We're quick. There are bums to the right of us, mummies to the left. What if for a change of pace we didn't stop?
The other "speed" horse, whose recent mid-pack breaks would have put it in contention there, was 20-1.
I put those two on top and then for third, the most consistent finisher during this meet, All.
The race transpired exactly the way you'd dream it up.
The New Mexico horse left the gate like a brand new jack-in-the-box. It won by ten or 12. The second horse beat the field that looked like the Ohio State band trying to dot the "I" back there, by ten more.
I won the whole tri pool.
The mutual manager had to go to all the floors to get my money.
I bought a round of drinks for the Jockey Club, it was the last race of the day, so there went around $50, and carried the winnings from the facility in a large brown grocery bag.
I paid a security guard to escort me to my car. Around here, no-accounts stalk winners at race tracks and Indian casinos all the time. Mugging is easier than picking winners.
Which is not to say that speed wins all watered down races.
I have seen a 50-1 Beetlemaum type win a mud-caked non-winners of two. But that one featured a short field, and the eventual winner was so far back there, mud balls could have hit it only if flung from slingshots.
This seems to have been the wettest pre-spring ever. Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Ark., has resembled a wading pool all meet and gave mud baths to its two Derby prep winners. El Kabeir won in New York on a track soggy from snow. And it almost sprinkled twice in LA.
More races, more questions: Until American Pharoah came down the stretch at Oaklawn looking like a jet ski, my rain rule has been to throw out all wet results because they inflate Beyer numbers the way a 1-5 winner can boost a picker's ego.
Dortmund fans are talking to themselves as well, asking: How much racing is too much racing?