Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 30, 2013 12:06:17 GMT -5
....good old time racing like I remember it in the '70s, when totally inexplicable results happened everywhere.
The first was a Mdn Clm 5000, bottom of the barrel. When I looked down the PPs (NO intention of betting the race), the first horse I threw out, wondering it it ever could win, was the 2 horse. 0 for 24 lifetime, only one second and one third. In her last nine races going back more than a year, betting odds were all double-digits, finished more than 20 lengths behind in six of those nine races, three of them more than 40 lengths!
But, the horse went off an an unbelievable 8-1, lowest odds on the page.
The race went off, the first two choices got off ahead of the field easily, the 2 horse languishing 7th by about 15 lengths. At the top of the stretch the 6-5 favorite was galloping off to a five-lenth lead, the 2 horse still sixth by more than 10 lengths. But then something happened! The throw-out suddenly figured out how to run, the favorite folded (ultimately finishing 3rd) and the 2 horse won out by about 4 lengths!
Ah, the good ol' days of "putting one over"!
|
|
|
Post by Challedon on Oct 30, 2013 12:30:33 GMT -5
I'll disagree. More than a few things pointed to this horse being live.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 30, 2013 12:37:55 GMT -5
The only things I could see looking back at the PPs, is that the two favorites were almost as bad and the winner was cutting back to one turn for the first time in her last five races.
To me, the running of the race confirmed the unpredictability of it - the winner was always up close to the pace for as long as she could, fading badly in the stretch. Today she was way back and closed - I couldn't have figured that to happen.
Overall it may have been the worst race on paper that I've seen in a long long time.
|
|
|
Post by Challedon on Oct 30, 2013 12:57:38 GMT -5
The winner's last sprint race gives her the dominant final fraction in the field It's not even close. the race figures to fall apart which only helps
The trainer has 2 wins over the last 365 days both with horses coming back in less than 10 days trainer is 1 for 3 route to sprint
|
|
|
Post by Challedon on Oct 30, 2013 15:57:46 GMT -5
actually looking at it again it was 2 sprints back, the 5.5 furlong race that had the big final fraction she basically went from being eased to throwing her big race going route to sprint
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 30, 2013 19:05:22 GMT -5
I was wondering about that - her last sprint was pretty poor (in keeping with her overall record) - she actually lost more than 10 lengths in the last eighth of a mile. Glad you clarified it.
Also, her PPs show five instances of coming back in less than 10 days (one was 10 days), in three of them her returning race was worse than the previous one, and one was a similar pattern of returning in a sprint after a route. Obviously being a maiden she lost all five of those, so she exhibited losing races previously with this "angle".
All that notwithstanding, overall it was a horrible field and a pretty poor betting race.
|
|
|
Post by Challedon on Oct 30, 2013 19:22:13 GMT -5
It's still a positive move for this barn. Apparenttly this barn likes to wheel horses back quickly and they have won doing so.
I love these kinds of races and I'm sorry I missed it.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 30, 2013 20:29:04 GMT -5
Well, at least now you have a candidate for that lightbulb angle! She was 0 for 24 going into the race.
|
|
|
Post by Challedon on Oct 30, 2013 20:37:47 GMT -5
haha no thanks I will leave that one for the TVG crowd
|
|