cait
Active Member
Posts: 3,821 
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Post by cait on May 13, 2015 16:12:19 GMT -5
1. Am Pharoah 4/5
2. Dortmund 7/2
3. Mr. Z 20/1
4. Danzig Moon 15/1
5. Tale of Verve 30/1
6. Bodhisattva 20/1
7. Divining Rod 12/1
8. Firing Line 4/1
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 13, 2015 16:14:09 GMT -5
Based on what wiz speculated with regard to Mr. Z, I predict that Dortmund may forget to turn left going into the clubhouse turn!
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cait
Active Member
Posts: 3,821
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Post by cait on May 13, 2015 16:16:45 GMT -5
funny geo! note - tomorrow is Trevor McCarthy's 21st B-day - very good jock - knows Pimlico - on #6
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Post by mackdaddy on May 13, 2015 17:20:37 GMT -5
been a long time since the 1 hole has won in the Preakness. George probably knows it. Dortmund and Firing Line have a perfect opportunity to earn a TC win. IMO and I will try to beat Pharaoh
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Post by Evelyn on May 13, 2015 21:33:45 GMT -5
I found this chart on a blog @americasbestracing 1 is not a great post but I don't know if it matters
Preakness Post Position Stats
PP Most Recent Winner Wins/Starts Win % Last Year’s Result
1 Tabasco Cat (1994) 9/107 8.40% Dynamic Impact, 7th place
2 Snow Chief (1986) 11/107 10.30% General a Rod, 4th place
3 California Chrome (2014) 12/107 11.20% California Chrome, 1st place
4 Curlin (2007) 13/107 12.10% Ring Weekend, 5th place
5 Shackleford (2011) 11/105 10.50% Bayern, 9th place
6 Oxbow (2013) 16/104 15.40% Ria Antonia, 10th place
7 Lookin At Lucky (2010) 13/94 13.80% Kid Cruz, 8th place
8 Bernardini (2006) 10/84 11.90% Social Inclusion, 3rd place
9 I’ll Have Another (2012)4/72 5.60% Pablo Del Monte, 6th place
10 Real Quiet (1998) 2/54 3.70% Ride On Curlin, 2nd place
11 Point Given (2001) 2/38 5.30% N/A
12 Afleet Alex (2005) 3/26 11.50% N/A
13 Rachel Alexandra (2009) 1/14 7.10% N/A
14 N/A 0/8 0% N/A
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 13, 2015 22:20:27 GMT -5
All things considered, the range of winning percentages really isn't all that wide, especially with the low number of entrants at the higher post positions.
BTW, some of the numbers converted into date format!! Here they are corrected (with some guesses on my part):
8 Bernardini (2006) Oct-84 11.90% Social Inclusion, 3rd place 10 of 84
9 I’ll Have Another (2012) Apr-72 5.60% Pablo Del Monte, 6th place 4 of 72
10 Real Quiet (1998) Feb-54 3.70% Ride On Curlin, 2nd place 2 of 54
11 Point Given (2001) Feb-38 5.30% N/A 2 of 38
12 Afleet Alex (2005) 26-Mar 11.50% N/A 3 of 26
13 Rachel Alexandra (2009) 14-Jan 7.10% N/A 1 of 14
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Post by Evelyn on May 13, 2015 22:36:49 GMT -5
Thanks Geo. I corrected it and admit I didn't check completely after I copied. Weird things do happen when copying!
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