The Jerome
Jan 1, 2015 16:50:57 GMT -5
Post by byanose13 on Jan 1, 2015 16:50:57 GMT -5
My take on the Jerome Stakes this Saturday as the Road to the Kentucky Derby gets going.
1-MINI COSMO-(Arroyo/Motion)- winner of 2/3 1 mile in 1:42 after 25,50 splits not likely to get it that easy today and big class jump should be 20-1
2-ROYAL BURGH-(Franco/Pletcher)- Race Filler? Winner of a MDN but crushed in G2 after a bobble @ start trainer makes for false odds should be 25-1
3-TENCENDUR-(Rose/Weaver)-Couldn't win MDN 60K and weak bris #s make for a pass should be 50-1SCRATCHED
4-OSTROLENKA-(Ortiz,J/Pletcher)-Pletchers REAL chance at this winner of 2/4 Quit in Remsen as the water may have been to deep so is today.Minor Prize. should be 5-1
5-NOW WE ARE FREE-(Jara/Nevin)- 2 race win streak going in but feel class jump just to much. bottom super filler. should be 30-1
6-GENERAL BELLAMY-(Alvarado/Mott)-Nice mDN 84k win and 3 straight increasing bris #s and 3rd off layoff point to a good effort.Previous 2 a concern though.should be 15-1
7-ACKERET-(Ortiz,I/Rodriguez)- winner of 2/3 including nice Alw win.Speed may make race come back to him. Did wet track move him up? should be 9/2
8-NASA-(Carmouche/Servis)- Placed in all 4 starts including 100K @ Parx. May have to sit off speed for best chance. A Win Threat. should be 5-1
9-El KABEIR-(Borel/Terranova)-2/3 placings in Graded company and is the speed good Bris E1 and E2 #s but Borel on early speed a concern. The FAV. should be 3-1
Trifecta play
9/4,7,8,9/1,4,6,7,8,9 @ $1 = $20
Super play @ .10
7,8/4,6,7,8,9/1,4,6,7,8,9/1,4,5,6,7,8,9 = $12.80
Exacta play
7,8/1,4,6 = $12
9/1,4,6 = $15
Total play $59.80
Hit the Tri for 90.75
So we show a profit for this 1st race in 2015
+$30.95
I am going to put a $50 limit on my bets going foward as I will try and do this for the Ky Derby Preps. If there are more than 1 race that week then we will go with $50 for each race and see if we can end the Derby trail with a little bit of a profit.
1-MINI COSMO-(Arroyo/Motion)- winner of 2/3 1 mile in 1:42 after 25,50 splits not likely to get it that easy today and big class jump should be 20-1
2-ROYAL BURGH-(Franco/Pletcher)- Race Filler? Winner of a MDN but crushed in G2 after a bobble @ start trainer makes for false odds should be 25-1
3-TENCENDUR-(Rose/Weaver)-Couldn't win MDN 60K and weak bris #s make for a pass should be 50-1SCRATCHED
4-OSTROLENKA-(Ortiz,J/Pletcher)-Pletchers REAL chance at this winner of 2/4 Quit in Remsen as the water may have been to deep so is today.Minor Prize. should be 5-1
5-NOW WE ARE FREE-(Jara/Nevin)- 2 race win streak going in but feel class jump just to much. bottom super filler. should be 30-1
6-GENERAL BELLAMY-(Alvarado/Mott)-Nice mDN 84k win and 3 straight increasing bris #s and 3rd off layoff point to a good effort.Previous 2 a concern though.should be 15-1
7-ACKERET-(Ortiz,I/Rodriguez)- winner of 2/3 including nice Alw win.Speed may make race come back to him. Did wet track move him up? should be 9/2
8-NASA-(Carmouche/Servis)- Placed in all 4 starts including 100K @ Parx. May have to sit off speed for best chance. A Win Threat. should be 5-1
9-El KABEIR-(Borel/Terranova)-2/3 placings in Graded company and is the speed good Bris E1 and E2 #s but Borel on early speed a concern. The FAV. should be 3-1
Trifecta play
9/4,7,8,9/1,4,6,7,8,9 @ $1 = $20
Super play @ .10
7,8/4,6,7,8,9/1,4,6,7,8,9/1,4,5,6,7,8,9 = $12.80
Exacta play
7,8/1,4,6 = $12
9/1,4,6 = $15
Total play $59.80
Hit the Tri for 90.75
So we show a profit for this 1st race in 2015
+$30.95
I am going to put a $50 limit on my bets going foward as I will try and do this for the Ky Derby Preps. If there are more than 1 race that week then we will go with $50 for each race and see if we can end the Derby trail with a little bit of a profit.