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Post by Deleted on Mar 18, 2014 4:00:13 GMT -5
wed. 3-19 at gulfstream
#2 will to shine.
im not familiar with either one of these guys as I have only been really playing gulfstream seriously here now for a couple months, so this is nothing personal. just going off the numbers. they have a lot of starters but neither jump out at me from that time period as being regulars here. are they trainers from another track? maybe one is OLD SCHOOL so that would explain his 1 for 50 record this year.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 18, 2014 8:33:23 GMT -5
Patricia Farro is a regular up at Parx and Aqueduct, I didn't realize she had as many starters at Gulfstream as she has. The other guy I don't recognize at all, but he's been training for more than 20 years and has a decent (14%) win percentage in that time. He must be a Florida regular. Career-wise (not this year) Braddy has a better win record.
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cait
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Post by cait on Mar 18, 2014 12:48:01 GMT -5
is the other "guy" J Braddy? he's been training in FL over 30 yrs. love him - have caught some good ones with him as trainer over the years - just a day to day good trainer - not seeking stardom - never heard anything bad about him - he works with what he has - if a horse went from farro to braddy, that's a good thing
not going near the old school comment since "new school" means "pharmacists" and someone who doesn't care about the animals but just cashing a bet and endorses using any meds "allowed" wouldn't understand the true meaning of "old school" anyway! yeah - braddy prolly is "old school" - certainly not a pharmacist - believe it or not, some trainers actually care about their horse's long term health more than they care about some gambler's dissecting their #'s! some are very happy to earn a nice living doing what they love and aren't obsessed with $$$ - if you don't recognize his name then you haven't followed FL racing - think he's trainer for a smaller but long term lexington breeding/racing farm too
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Post by Deleted on Mar 18, 2014 14:19:35 GMT -5
nothing to do with faro. it was Jorge Navarro, who is winning at a .35 percent clip over his last 325 starters, while braddy is 1 for 50.
cait you seem to confuse "race horse trainers" with people who look after horses. whether or not you like it, there is a big difference. these guys are paid to train horses to win races. that is a job, not a hobby. I also find it funny how every trainer who is successful and wins at a rate of 25-35 percent, you always assume is a "pharmacist" without knowing anything about them. I admitted already I don't know either one of these if you happened to read what I said. I have only been playing GS seriously for about 2 months now. so just because someone is successful, they don't care about the horses health? I think maybe you just hate people that are successful.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 18, 2014 14:49:19 GMT -5
I screwed up. For some reason I thought, from the chart of the horse's last race, that his trainer was Patricia Farro. It was indeed Jorge Navarro. Sorry for the confusion.
Jorge Navarro served a 60 days suspension last year, starting in October. Tampa Bay Downs has barred him through the 2013-2014 meet. Maybe the owner felt that Navarro was too "hot" and might get caught again? Maybe the owner didn't like working with a trainer that had drug issues? Or, maybe the owner wanted to race his horse at Tampa Bay Downs?
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Post by Deleted on Mar 18, 2014 15:03:37 GMT -5
all possible. and apparently he has a drug history, which I never denied. I dint know so I didn't assume anything like some people love to do. but regardless, the facts are the horse is still going from a 35 percent trainer to a guy who is 1 for 50. that was my point to begin with. numbers wise it is a horrible barn change. the owner can do whatever he wants. for all I care he can prop him up in front of k mart and charge 5 bucks a pop for little kids to take their pictures with him. but as far as his chances of winning a race after going from a 35 percent trainer to this guy? not good.
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cait
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Post by cait on Mar 19, 2014 16:28:00 GMT -5
well wiz - at least the horse may live to try again and not drop dead because of drug induced heart attack
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Post by Deleted on Mar 19, 2014 18:26:22 GMT -5
the #2 horse in the last race was the "worst trainer change of all time" horse. go back and watch his race and tell me how well he ran or how impressive he was. he sat on the rail behind a four horse across the track duel, saved all the ground, got the moses trip up the rail on the turn, and stunk to high heaven in the lane, beating two horses who were distanced!! this is a horse whose last 6 races when trained by an actual trainer, were 6-4-1-1 against equal or better competition. now he shows up for this 1 for 50 trainer and he looks like he needs chemotherapy on the far turn. but I guess as long as your "old school" that stuff doesn't matter.
well as long as when she "runs again" it is against 2 donkeys and an llama, then maybe she will be successful. because she certainly wont be against these horses with this tool training her. you see cait this is horse RACING, not HORSE SURVIVOR. jeff probst isn't here calling the races. the point is to win. and if you don't, then you shouldn't be in the game. this guy and all the other "old school" schmelts who win at 3% should be working somewhere where success isnt what you are measured by.
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cait
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Post by cait on Mar 20, 2014 15:04:21 GMT -5
the point is to win with a healthy horse - not a drugged up zombie - geeeesh wiz - it is not just a job for people like you - it is also a sport - the man makes a decent living - who gives a f what his % is? will have to do research on that - what's his top 3 finish %? that also brings home a check - not to mention fees, boarding etc. not everyone is a money hungry sot - some people enjoy their day to day regular lives
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Post by Deleted on Mar 20, 2014 16:01:30 GMT -5
Braddy's win percentage is 14%, ITM is 40%, with $2188 earnings per start.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 20, 2014 16:02:01 GMT -5
the point is to win with a healthy horse - not a drugged up zombie - geeeesh wiz - it is not just a job for people like you - it is also a sport - the man makes a decent living - who gives a f what his % is? will have to do research on that - what's his top 3 finish %? that also brings home a check - not to mention fees, boarding etc. not everyone is a money hungry sot - some people enjoy their day to day regular lives who gives a F* what his win % is? how about anyone who knows how to handicap a race and uses logic when doing so? so if the point is to win without drigging them up, then he obviously isn't do a good job. hes 1 for his last 52!! you keep going back to bashing people who are successful and grouping them together as being greedy, money hungry sob's, but sorry to have to rain on your parade, but that is the point!! I don't care about his day to day life. im not stalking him and trying to be a part of it, are you? I am betting horse races, not running a pet adoption agency. the point of this thread which you cant seem to grasp, is thst for betting races, this was a horrible trainer change. now if you want to go start another thread and do a biography on this guy BRADDY's life, go ahead. but as a race horse trainer and someone people are betting their money on to win races, he sucks.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 20, 2014 16:04:14 GMT -5
but he is 1 for his last 52 George. that is the point. he is in a skid. his horses are running poorly and regressing when entering his barn.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 20, 2014 16:19:19 GMT -5
I realize that, wiz. I was just answering the question. Until you brought it up a couple of days ago, I'd never even heard his name, so he certainly hasn't had a profound impact on racing. I don't know that much about Navarro, either, but as you point out, he has a much better recent record. Other than his suspension last year for infractions in early 2012, I don't think he's had any other positives. Not only that, but the six positives for which he was suspended all occurred during a five or six week period at Tampa Bay Downs two years ago. I'm not going to speculate, but I don't think Navarro has made a career out of drugging horses regularly.
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cait
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Post by cait on Mar 20, 2014 16:52:21 GMT -5
it's not "bashing" when the facts back you up! you handicap the trainers? lol okey dokey w/e - now he's old so i don't think he can do 110 and change
geo - navarro has
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Post by Deleted on Mar 20, 2014 19:04:07 GMT -5
that's right cait. and the facts are this guy wins 2% of the time and the other guy wins 35% of the time. those are the facts. everything else is your opinion. do I handicap the trainers? of course. any sane rational person does. barn changes are one of the biggest causes for form reversals in racing. if you don't, your well behind the times on that one. you laugh about it and make a joke out of it, but you play horses all the time because of who trains them or rides them because you like those people based on the wrong reasons. but yet you think its unusual to handicap them based on their performances? now that is what is funny.
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Post by Evelyn on Mar 20, 2014 22:10:30 GMT -5
Wiz - Where are you getting your stats?
Braddy
Career Statistics: Starts: 6,699 Firsts: 955 Seconds: 897 Thirds: 859
That's 14% win and and 41% In the Money
Navarro Career Statistics: Starts: 1,075 Firsts: 276 Seconds: 215 Thirds: 137 Earnings: $4,740,580 Avg. Earnings Per Start: $4,410
Thats 26% win and a 58% In the Moiney
Braddy's in his 34th year of training, Navarro's in his 7th.
I really don't care but if you're going to throw out stats to "make a case", they should be accurate. Also, I disagree that trainers are not paid to take care of their horses. Wiz - As it's been said, you only care about gambling and winning. I think it's a real shame you have such disregard for the horses - for they are what make horse racing. Just my opinion. I'm really glad I don't have to win at the races to pay my bills because then racing would not be something to enjoy. I also don't think your "reasons" for betting a certain horse are always right either. What works for one person may not work for another and I don't think anyone has the right to "judge" how someone bets - especially when they're betting their $. I guess when one has to rely on winning tickets to earn a living, there's a completely different perspective of the sport. I think the attitude that horses are an investment commodity, giving no regard to the fact that they are living breathing beings is one of the reasons the sport has declined.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 20, 2014 23:09:26 GMT -5
ev im getting my stats straight out of the daily racing form. and if you read the post (?) I said 1 for his LAST 52, and navarros last 3oo and something. what does it matter what he did 30 years ago? my stats are completely accurate. you are just using stats that are irrelevant to the point. sorry but once again, let me repeat this..............GAMBLING AND WINNING IS WHAT HORSE RACING IS ABOUT to 95% of the people who watch it. and that is not all I care about, as I have corrected you before. are you just mad because im not a complete bleeding heart like you who can only see things one way? im not wishing ant harm to this horse. my whole point was simply about the horses chances of winning switching from one barn to the other. you and cait are the ones who have taken it upon yourself to change it into something else, as you always do. just because im trying to use facts and common sense to figure out who has the better chance of winning, that means I am disregarding the horse? give me a break. ae you sure your not a member of peta? im glad you don't have to rely on winning either ev. it wouldn't be a good thing if you dd. btw, horses have been an investment copmmodity all along. that will never change. but that doesn't mean I or others don't care also. but once again, you have one way of seeing things so I guess it has to be one or the other with you. no compromise. lastly, my "reasons" may not always be right, but they make a hell of a lot more sense then others ive seen.
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Post by Evelyn on Mar 21, 2014 10:25:55 GMT -5
1. I'm not "mad"! Why would I be? 2. No one can "correct" another's opinion. You can agree to disagree. 2. 95%$? Where did that come from? 4. Bottom line: You condone using performance enhancing drugs. I do not.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 21, 2014 11:04:11 GMT -5
1. I'm not "mad"! Why would I be? 2. No one can "correct" another's opinion. You can agree to disagree. 2. 95%$? Where did that come from?*4. Bottom line: You condone using performance enhancing drugs. I do not. *Except on Preakness Day, when 95% are interested in binge drinking.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 21, 2014 11:07:47 GMT -5
For the record, and not taking sides in this (although I think wiz has something here......), Braddy's record in 2013-2014 is 8% win rate and 33% ITM rate.
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