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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 11:26:46 GMT -5
Even though I will not be playing the BC Races I thought I'd share these interesting Stats/Trends.
Marathon: DivisionDebut 2008
Favorites win %: 0
Favorites ITM: 40%
$2 avg win payout: $37.28
Juvenile Turf: Division Debut 2007
Favorites win %: 17
ITM: 67%
$2 avg win payout: $18.03
Dirt Mile: Division Debut 2007
Favorites win %: 0
ITM: 17%
$2 avg win payout: $32.37
Juvenile Fillies Turf: Division Debut 2008
Favorites win %: 0
ITM: 40%
$2 avg win payout: $22.80
Distaff: Division debut 1984
Favorites win %: 45
ITM: 59%
$2 avg win payout: $17.77
Juvenile Fillies: Division debut 1984
Favorites win %: 59
ITM: 83%
$2 avg win payout: $15.89
Filly & Mare Turf: Division Debut 1999
Favorites win %: 21
ITM: 79%
$2 avg win payout: $23.43
Filly & Mare Sprint: Division Debut 2007
Favorites win %: 17
ITM: 50%
$2 avg win payout: $16.56
Turf Sprint: Division Debut 2008
Favorites win %: 40
ITM: 60%
$2 avg win payout: $24.40
Juvenile: Division Debut 1984
Favorites win %: 38
ITM: 69%
$2 avg win payout: $16.89
Turf: Division Debut 1984
Favorites win %: 31
ITM: 55%
$2 avg win payout: $ 21.53
Sprint: Division Debut 1984
Favorites win %: 21
ITM: 41%
$2 avg win payout: $21.84
Mile: Division Debut 1984
Favorites win %: 38
ITM: 52%
$2 avg win payout: $22.18
Classic: Division Debut 1984
Favorites win %: 28
ITM: 62%
$2 avg win payout: $28.84
I do hope these are helpful to those of you playing the races.
Pres
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 11:59:39 GMT -5
BC Marathon Facts:
The Horse leading the Marathon after the first Mile has a record of 5: 0-0-1 finishing 3rd, 4th, 8th, 9th, and 11th.
4 of 5 Marathon winners exited final prep victories, while the other previously finished second.
Europeans are 7: 0-0-0 in Marathon Editions on Dirt. None finishing better than 8th.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 12:28:14 GMT -5
Juvenile Turf Facts:
Europeans have won all 3 editions at Santa Anita Donativum,Pounced, and George Vancouver
Atleast one European has been in the exacta in 5 of the 6 editions
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 12:33:38 GMT -5
Dirt Mile: The last 5 Dirt Mile favorites have finished out of the money. Master Craftsman 7/5, Well Armed 6/5,Here Comes Ben 5/2, Willburn 5/2,Emcee 5/2.
5 of the last 6 Dirt Mile winners exited prep failures where they finished 3rd or worse.
Caleb's Posse was the only 3 yr old to win the Dirt Mile 2011
In 6 editions no horse over the age of 5 has won this race.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 12:52:50 GMT -5
Juvenile Fillies Turf Facts:
Favorites are 5: 0-1-1 in this race finishing 8th in 2009,2011,2012
No West Coast Trained filly ever has finished third or better in this race
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 12:58:06 GMT -5
Distaff Facts:
The last 2 renewals on Santa Anita Dirt track have been won in wire to wire fashion.Adoration in 2003 and Royal Delta in 2012
Trainer Bill Mott has won 3 consecutive editions of this race. Royal Delta (twice), Unrivaled Bell
Mott trained Mushka finished 2nd in this race 4 years ago
Since 2006 EVERY Distaff winner has had a final prep at either Belmont or Santa Anita
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 13:18:37 GMT -5
Juvenile Fillies Facts:
The Juvenile Fillies exacta has paid less than $29 for a $1 in 8 of the last 9 years
Favorites are in the money 24/29 times
At Santa Anita West Coast based fillies have won 5 out of 6 times. Only the Midwest's She Be Wild (2009) won
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 13:27:25 GMT -5
Filly & Mare Turf Facts:
Fillies & Mares prepped in California are 0-28 all time in this race, with only 3 ITM finishes
The Filly & Mare winner has paid $20 or more in each of the last 3 years
Top trainers who struggle in this race:
Bill Mott 5-0-0-0
Christophe Clement 7-0-1-0
Aidan O'Brien 8-0-1-2
John Gosden 4-0-0-1
Saeed bin Suroor 5-0-0-0
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 13:32:25 GMT -5
Filly & Mare Sprint Facts:
All 6 winners of the F & M Sprint where either 1st or 2nd in their final prep race
Groupie Doll was the 1st winning favorite and just the 3rd BC Winner since 1995 to return $3.40 or less
Pacesetters have finished 3rd,5th,7th,8th,10th, and 11th in the 6 runnings of this race
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 13:39:10 GMT -5
Turf Sprint Facts:
California based Horses have won all 3 Turf Sprints held on SA downhill turf course
Females have placed in 3 of 5 Editions of this race
The post time favorite has finished 1st or 2nd in 3/4 last editions
Mizdirection was off since May became the 1st Winner to win this race without a September or October prep
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 13:46:37 GMT -5
Juvenile Facts:
7 consecutive Juvenile Favorites have finished in the exacta dating back to First Samurai's 2005 3rd place finish
In 6 Juveniles run at SA West Coast based Horses have won 4 times Capote '86, Brocco '93, Action This Day '03, Midshipman '08
One NY based Horse won Shanghai Bobby '12
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 13:49:41 GMT -5
Turf Facts:
Europeans have won this race 11 of the last 14 times. A 4 race win streak was snapped in 2012
The last pacesetter winner was Bucks Boy in 1998
No Horse over the age of 5 has ever won this race
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 13:55:28 GMT -5
Sprint Facts:
California based Horses have won 5 of the last 7 sprints
Since 2000 only 1 sprint winner has been older than 5, Speightstown in 2004 at the age of 6
In title defenses Sprint champs have finished 7th Big Drama and 8th Amazombie the past 2 years
C Knock has finished in the Sprint Superfecta with 9 of 12 career mounts including 4 wins
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 13:59:38 GMT -5
Mile Facts:
The Woodbine Mile has produced the last 2 winners of this race Court Vision 2011 Wise Dan 2012
5 of the last 6 renewals have had a Woodbine Mile alumnus in the trifecta
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 14:03:52 GMT -5
Classic Facts:
Mike Smith is 5-2-2-1 record in the last 5 classics
The top 4 finishers in last years Classic ALL came from NY Preps. It happened one other time in 1985
No Horse over the age of 5 has ever won this race
That's it I'm DONE....
Time for a nice Cigar and two or three cold beers
PRES
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Post by byanose13 on Oct 25, 2013 16:47:19 GMT -5
Thanks prez, any tidbit helps.
I will be playing the BC races but will probably play just the P4s
The only thing that needs cleaning is the 1st samurai finish, if third then he is not in the exacta.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2013 16:56:14 GMT -5
Byanose13:
No problem I got the info sent to me this morning. Enjoy it and hit a signer or two.
Pres
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Post by Deleted on Oct 26, 2013 7:42:36 GMT -5
If anyone is interested I do have the stats for exacta and trifecta payouts.
Pres
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